Political races are already heating up in 2026 — and so is the flood of polling that will try to predict the outcomes. But, ...

The results of the 2024 presidential election cement a trend in American politics: Polls cannot accurately gauge support for Donald Trump. In the 2016, 2020 and now 2024 elections, polls consistently ...

Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential election has once again called into question how polling companies and media outlets model voter support. When Trump won the 2016 race against ...

A few months before the recent election, I was invited to join a select group—said to include Elon Musk—to preview what was touted as a groundbreaking innovation in public opinion research: Brad ...

President-elect Donald Trump made a stunning political comeback, largely outperforming how polls expected him to do for the third election in a row. But this election's results brought clarity to a ...

The run-up to the 2024 election saw numerous predictions and forecasts, and inevitably, not everyone was correct about who the next president would be. President-elect Donald Trump claimed victory on ...

President Donald Trump launched his second term with a series of executive orders, asserting his authority more decisively ...

An explanation of the methodology for most of 538's current polling averages. Almost since its founding, 538 has published comprehensive averages of polls for a wide variety of questions related to ...

Ann Selzer discusses the final Iowa Poll of the 2024 presidential election during her Friday appearance on “Iowa Press” at Iowa PBS studios in Johnston. (Iowa PBS screenshot) Buy Photo The Gazette ...

(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Spencer Goidel, Auburn University; Eliana DuBosar, Auburn University, and Zoe ...