Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

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Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...

Société Générale strategist Albert Edwards recently shared a few charts that he finds concerning. Investors seem confident in the US economy's resilience for now as the Fed lowers rates. But labor ...

Wall Street economists and investors seem mostly sanguine about the US economy's chances of avoiding a recession in the months ahead. This is despite the fact that the labor market seems to be on a ...